Villa San Carlos vs Deportivo Merlo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.4%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
23%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
19.7%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villa San Carlos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jun. 2021 |
SMG
1 - 0
VSC
31%
29%
40%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2021 |
VSC
0 - 2
TAL
49%
25%
25%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Jun. 2021 |
UAI
1 - 1
VSC
41%
29%
30%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2021 |
VSC
1 - 1
COM
44%
26%
30%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2021 |
ARM
1 - 1
VSC
25%
28%
47%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Deportivo Merlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jun. 2021 |
MER
1 - 1
CAD
27%
27%
47%
|
43 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2021 |
FEN
1 - 5
MER
48%
26%
26%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Jun. 2021 |
MER
1 - 3
COL
32%
26%
42%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Jun. 2021 |
AND
0 - 0
MER
66%
22%
12%
|
42 | 57 | 15 | +1 |
| 15 May. 2021 |
MER
1 - 0
ARQ
38%
27%
35%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | +1 |