Villa San Carlos vs Brown Adrogué analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.3%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
3%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.1%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.3%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
28.9%
Draw
0-0
10.8%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.8%
31.8%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villa San Carlos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
PAT
2 - 2
VSC
68%
21%
11%
|
59 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
VSC
1 - 3
INS
26%
28%
46%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
DYJ
2 - 1
VSC
71%
19%
9%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2013 |
VSC
0 - 1
IND
23%
30%
47%
|
60 | 75 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
FER
0 - 0
VSC
51%
30%
20%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Brown Adrogué
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
BRO
0 - 1
BAN
27%
27%
46%
|
62 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2013 |
HUR
0 - 1
BRO
59%
24%
17%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2013 |
BRO
0 - 1
IRV
45%
26%
29%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2013 |
ATT
0 - 0
BRO
65%
21%
14%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2013 |
BRO
1 - 1
ALD
43%
26%
31%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |