Villa San Carlos vs Boca Unidos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.3%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
4%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.2%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.8%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
49.4%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villa San Carlos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
BRO
2 - 1
VSC
63%
22%
15%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
VSC
1 - 0
PAT
29%
30%
41%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2014 |
VSC
1 - 1
CIP
43%
25%
32%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
INS
3 - 2
VSC
66%
22%
12%
|
59 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2014 |
VSC
1 - 2
DYJ
19%
26%
56%
|
59 | 75 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Boca Unidos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
BUC
2 - 1
BAN
29%
28%
44%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
HUR
2 - 0
BUC
46%
26%
28%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
BUC
3 - 0
IRV
41%
28%
31%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
ATT
0 - 1
BUC
54%
24%
22%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | +2 |
| 19 Mar. 2014 |
BUC
1 - 3
ALD
47%
27%
26%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | -1 |