Villa San Carlos vs Almirante Brown analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.7%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.8%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
23.2%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villa San Carlos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2015 |
UAI
0 - 0
VSC
41%
28%
31%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2015 |
VSC
3 - 0
MER
47%
27%
27%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
BRO
1 - 0
VSC
71%
18%
11%
|
41 | 51 | 10 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
VSC
1 - 1
COL
37%
29%
35%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2015 |
FLA
1 - 1
VSC
41%
27%
32%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Almirante Brown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
ALM
0 - 0
DEF
28%
27%
45%
|
37 | 47 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
BAR
3 - 0
ALM
58%
23%
19%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2015 |
ALM
0 - 1
ACA
49%
27%
25%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2015 |
RIE
2 - 1
ALM
34%
25%
41%
|
40 | 32 | 8 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
ALM
0 - 1
EST
22%
27%
50%
|
41 | 55 | 14 | -1 |