Série D Brazil Etapas Finales Last 16
Global 1-1
Villa Nova vs URT analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.8%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.8%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
31.8%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villa Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 2017 |
URT
0 - 0
VIL
61%
23%
16%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2017 |
URO
1 - 2
VIL
56%
25%
20%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2017 |
VIL
2 - 0
URO
38%
25%
36%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | +1 |
| 25 Jun. 2017 |
BAN
1 - 1
VIL
53%
26%
21%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2017 |
VIL
2 - 1
DES
56%
23%
22%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
URT
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 2017 |
URT
0 - 0
VIL
61%
23%
16%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2017 |
POR
1 - 1
URT
43%
27%
30%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Jul. 2017 |
URT
1 - 0
POR
41%
27%
32%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2017 |
URT
0 - 0
POR
41%
26%
32%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2017 |
ITU
0 - 1
URT
47%
28%
25%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | +1 |