Villa Nova vs Tupi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.8%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.7%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.9%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
37.8%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villa Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
VIL
0 - 2
NEC
47%
24%
30%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2012 |
CAL
2 - 2
VIL
53%
24%
23%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2012 |
VIL
0 - 0
BOA
29%
26%
45%
|
47 | 61 | 14 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
VIL
1 - 2
DEM
50%
23%
27%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2012 |
TUP
0 - 0
VIL
61%
21%
18%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Tupi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
CHA
5 - 0
TUP
72%
19%
10%
|
54 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
TUP
0 - 1
OES
34%
28%
38%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
BRA
2 - 1
TUP
61%
23%
16%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
SAN
1 - 1
TUP
51%
26%
22%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
TUP
1 - 1
VIL
39%
27%
33%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | 0 |