Villa Nova vs Tombense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.6%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.9%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
54.2%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
13.6%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.4%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.7%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villa Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
URT
2 - 1
VIL
45%
27%
29%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
BOA
1 - 3
VIL
72%
19%
9%
|
42 | 56 | 14 | +2 |
| 12 Feb. 2020 |
VIL
1 - 2
AMF
11%
21%
68%
|
43 | 72 | 29 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
VIL
2 - 2
TFC
48%
22%
31%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
CAL
2 - 0
VIL
48%
27%
25%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Tombense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Feb. 2020 |
AMF
2 - 1
TOM
69%
20%
11%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2020 |
TOM
2 - 0
CRZ
18%
24%
58%
|
60 | 81 | 21 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 2020 |
TOM
4 - 0
URT
69%
20%
11%
|
59 | 47 | 12 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
TOM
2 - 0
PAT
69%
20%
11%
|
59 | 47 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
ATM
1 - 1
TOM
84%
12%
4%
|
58 | 81 | 23 | +1 |