Villa Nova vs São Mateus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.2%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
7%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.7%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
17.3%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villa Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 2011 |
VIL
1 - 0
FOR
66%
19%
15%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2011 |
VOL
0 - 1
VIL
44%
27%
29%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
VIL
2 - 2
AMF
28%
26%
47%
|
52 | 68 | 16 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
AME
2 - 1
VIL
41%
25%
34%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
VIL
1 - 0
CAL
53%
23%
24%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
São Mateus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 2011 |
SAO
1 - 4
SEC
61%
22%
17%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2011 |
FOR
1 - 0
SAO
37%
26%
37%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Jul. 2011 |
SAO
0 - 0
VOL
49%
25%
25%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | -1 |
| 29 May. 2011 |
LIN
0 - 2
SAO
47%
25%
28%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 May. 2011 |
SAO
1 - 1
LIN
44%
25%
32%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | 0 |