Villa Nova vs São Bento analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.4%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.6%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.8%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
52.1%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.5%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villa Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jun. 2016 |
SAO
0 - 1
VIL
68%
22%
10%
|
39 | 59 | 20 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2016 |
ECS
0 - 0
VIL
68%
21%
11%
|
40 | 58 | 18 | -1 |
| 12 Jun. 2016 |
VIL
1 - 1
POR
39%
24%
37%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
GUA
2 - 1
VIL
55%
25%
20%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
VIL
2 - 7
ATM
8%
18%
75%
|
43 | 84 | 41 | -1 |
Matches
São Bento
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jun. 2016 |
SAO
0 - 1
VIL
68%
22%
10%
|
59 | 39 | 20 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2016 |
POR
0 - 1
SAO
17%
26%
57%
|
60 | 46 | 14 | -1 |
| 12 Jun. 2016 |
SAO
1 - 0
ECS
41%
29%
30%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
SAN
2 - 0
SAO
82%
13%
5%
|
62 | 86 | 24 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
SAO
1 - 0
SAO
15%
24%
61%
|
61 | 82 | 21 | +1 |