Villa Nova vs Santo André analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.8%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.7%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
31.1%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villa Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2013 |
JUV
1 - 0
VIL
66%
21%
13%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2013 |
VIL
2 - 1
PEN
33%
27%
40%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | +1 |
| 28 Jul. 2013 |
MAR
0 - 0
VIL
49%
25%
25%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2013 |
PEN
2 - 0
VIL
64%
22%
14%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | -1 |
| 13 Jul. 2013 |
VIL
0 - 3
MAR
63%
20%
17%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Santo André
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2013 |
SAN
1 - 0
TAU
49%
24%
27%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2013 |
SAN
3 - 0
SJS
60%
22%
18%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | +1 |
| 03 Aug. 2013 |
SAN
2 - 0
JUV
34%
27%
39%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | +1 |
| 31 Jul. 2013 |
JUV
1 - 0
SAN
38%
26%
36%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Jul. 2013 |
SAN
0 - 1
SAO
28%
27%
45%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | 0 |