Villa Nova vs Palmas FR analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.2%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.8%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.1%
15.7%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villa Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 2020 |
VIL
1 - 2
COI
47%
22%
30%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2020 |
UBE
2 - 1
VIL
54%
25%
22%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2020 |
VIL
1 - 3
ATM
6%
17%
76%
|
44 | 81 | 37 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
VIL
1 - 2
TOM
21%
25%
54%
|
45 | 62 | 17 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
URT
2 - 1
VIL
45%
27%
29%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Palmas FR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2020 |
ARA
0 - 1
PAL
15%
19%
65%
|
38 | 18 | 20 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
NCO
0 - 5
PAL
12%
18%
71%
|
38 | 13 | 25 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
PAL
1 - 0
CAP
72%
16%
11%
|
38 | 19 | 19 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
PAL
4 - 1
CAC
74%
16%
10%
|
38 | 16 | 22 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2020 |
PAL
2 - 2
INT
60%
22%
18%
|
38 | 29 | 9 | 0 |