Villa Nova vs Minas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.1%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
8%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.8%
2-0
11%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.9%
14%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villa Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
VIL
1 - 4
ATM
12%
21%
68%
|
47 | 83 | 36 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
CAL
1 - 1
VIL
59%
24%
17%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2014 |
TUP
0 - 0
VIL
58%
24%
19%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
VIL
1 - 3
TOM
34%
24%
42%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2014 |
CRZ
3 - 1
VIL
90%
8%
2%
|
48 | 86 | 38 | -1 |
Matches
Minas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
CRZ
4 - 0
MIN
95%
4%
1%
|
39 | 86 | 47 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2014 |
MIN
2 - 1
CAL
25%
25%
50%
|
37 | 54 | 17 | +2 |
| 20 Feb. 2014 |
NAC
0 - 0
MIN
21%
22%
57%
|
38 | 19 | 19 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
MIN
2 - 1
AMF
8%
15%
77%
|
36 | 66 | 30 | +2 |
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
MIN
1 - 2
BOA
17%
22%
61%
|
37 | 58 | 21 | -1 |