Villa Nova vs EC Juventude analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
38.7%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.3%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villa Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jun. 2013 |
SAN
2 - 1
VIL
52%
26%
22%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2013 |
CRZ
1 - 0
VIL
86%
11%
3%
|
51 | 83 | 32 | -2 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
VIL
0 - 4
CRZ
11%
18%
71%
|
51 | 83 | 32 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
ATM
2 - 1
VIL
91%
7%
2%
|
51 | 84 | 33 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
VIL
2 - 0
AMF
20%
23%
58%
|
50 | 65 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
EC Juventude
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jun. 2013 |
JUV
2 - 1
MAR
72%
18%
10%
|
57 | 40 | 17 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2013 |
PEN
1 - 2
JUV
50%
26%
24%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
SCI
0 - 0
JUV
81%
14%
5%
|
57 | 83 | 26 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
JUV
1 - 1
GRE
13%
21%
66%
|
57 | 83 | 26 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
JUV
3 - 2
NOV
47%
26%
27%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | +1 |