Villa Nova vs Guarani MG analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.4%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.9%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
21.1%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villa Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2011 |
DEM
2 - 3
VIL
56%
23%
22%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
FUN
0 - 3
VIL
31%
25%
44%
|
51 | 42 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
VIL
0 - 1
CRZ
10%
20%
71%
|
51 | 85 | 34 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2011 |
TUP
1 - 1
VIL
50%
24%
26%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2010 |
DEM
0 - 0
VIL
63%
20%
17%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Guarani MG
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
GUA
2 - 4
ATM
8%
15%
77%
|
48 | 80 | 32 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
GUA
1 - 2
USC
45%
25%
31%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 2011 |
DEM
0 - 2
GUA
63%
20%
17%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | +1 |
| 30 Jan. 2011 |
GUA
5 - 0
IFC
18%
22%
61%
|
46 | 64 | 18 | +2 |
| 30 May. 2010 |
GUA
3 - 0
MAM
55%
24%
22%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | +1 |