Villa Nova vs Gama analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.9%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.3%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.3%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
48.6%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.8%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villa Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul. 2015 |
VIL
2 - 3
DUQ
59%
22%
19%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2015 |
CRA
1 - 0
VIL
46%
27%
27%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | -2 |
| 05 Apr. 2015 |
VIL
0 - 1
CAL
33%
27%
40%
|
46 | 58 | 12 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
ATM
3 - 0
VIL
88%
10%
2%
|
46 | 85 | 39 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
VIL
1 - 1
DEM
52%
23%
24%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Gama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul. 2015 |
CRA
0 - 0
GAM
27%
27%
46%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2015 |
GAM
0 - 0
BOT
27%
29%
44%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | -1 |
| 02 May. 2015 |
BRA
0 - 1
GAM
34%
27%
40%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
GAM
3 - 0
BRA
46%
27%
27%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
GAM
0 - 1
BRA
48%
27%
26%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |