Villa Nova vs Formosa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.1%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.4%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.4%
14.5%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villa Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 2011 |
VOL
0 - 1
VIL
44%
27%
29%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
VIL
2 - 2
AMF
28%
26%
47%
|
52 | 68 | 16 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
AME
2 - 1
VIL
41%
25%
34%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
VIL
1 - 0
CAL
53%
23%
24%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
VIL
2 - 2
IFC
36%
25%
39%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Formosa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul. 2011 |
FOR
1 - 0
SAO
37%
26%
37%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2011 |
SEC
0 - 0
FOR
50%
24%
26%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
CEI
0 - 0
FOR
35%
25%
40%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
FOR
5 - 2
CFZ
68%
19%
13%
|
46 | 31 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2011 |
GAM
1 - 1
FOR
66%
20%
14%
|
46 | 57 | 11 | 0 |