Villa Nova vs Desportiva Ferroviária analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.8%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.2%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
21.5%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villa Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jun. 2017 |
POR
0 - 0
VIL
64%
22%
15%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2017 |
VIL
2 - 1
POR
40%
26%
34%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | +2 |
| 27 May. 2017 |
DES
0 - 0
VIL
55%
25%
21%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 May. 2017 |
VIL
1 - 3
BAN
46%
25%
29%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | -3 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
AMF
1 - 1
VIL
79%
17%
5%
|
42 | 68 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
Desportiva Ferroviária
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jun. 2017 |
DES
2 - 2
BAN
41%
26%
33%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2017 |
BAN
0 - 1
DES
59%
23%
18%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | +1 |
| 27 May. 2017 |
DES
0 - 0
VIL
55%
25%
21%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | -2 |
| 22 May. 2017 |
POR
1 - 0
DES
64%
21%
15%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
DES
2 - 0
LIN
54%
25%
21%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | 0 |