Villa Nova vs Democrata GV analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.1%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.1%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
24.5%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villa Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
TUP
3 - 0
VIL
63%
22%
14%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2015 |
VIL
0 - 4
CRZ
10%
20%
70%
|
49 | 87 | 38 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
VIL
0 - 0
AMF
14%
22%
64%
|
49 | 71 | 22 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2015 |
VIL
0 - 3
COT
13%
20%
67%
|
49 | 80 | 31 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
MAM
1 - 2
VIL
50%
26%
24%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Democrata GV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2015 |
DEM
0 - 1
CAL
29%
28%
44%
|
47 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2015 |
TOM
3 - 1
DEM
49%
25%
27%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
GUA
2 - 2
DEM
43%
26%
31%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
DEM
1 - 0
URT
48%
25%
27%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
DEM
0 - 1
TUP
30%
27%
44%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | 0 |