Villa Nova vs Cruzeiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10.2%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.9%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
2.6%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
<0%
+1
7.9%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
20.2%
69.6%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
0-1
15.9%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.4%
0-2
15.2%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.6%
0-3
9.7%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
12.7%
0-4
4.7%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.8%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villa Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
CAL
2 - 1
VIL
28%
28%
45%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2023 |
VIL
1 - 1
DEM
45%
24%
30%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
DEM
0 - 1
VIL
35%
27%
38%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
AMF
2 - 1
VIL
83%
13%
4%
|
48 | 84 | 36 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2022 |
VIL
1 - 3
DEM
56%
23%
21%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Cruzeiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2023 |
CRZ
1 - 1
ATM
15%
24%
62%
|
77 | 90 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2023 |
CRZ
0 - 1
POA
83%
13%
5%
|
78 | 54 | 24 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
AMF
1 - 0
CRZ
57%
24%
20%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
CRZ
1 - 1
ATH
84%
12%
5%
|
78 | 53 | 25 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
PAT
1 - 2
CRZ
5%
15%
80%
|
78 | 39 | 39 | 0 |