Villa Nova vs Coimbra Esporte Clube analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.2%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.2%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
30.4%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.5%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villa Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jul. 2020 |
UBE
2 - 1
VIL
54%
25%
22%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2020 |
VIL
1 - 3
ATM
6%
17%
76%
|
43 | 81 | 38 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
VIL
1 - 2
TOM
21%
25%
54%
|
43 | 61 | 18 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
URT
2 - 1
VIL
45%
27%
29%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
BOA
1 - 3
VIL
72%
19%
9%
|
42 | 56 | 14 | +2 |
Matches
Coimbra Esporte Clube
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2020 |
COI
1 - 2
TOM
14%
21%
65%
|
43 | 61 | 18 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2020 |
CRZ
0 - 1
COI
86%
11%
3%
|
42 | 79 | 37 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
CAL
2 - 0
COI
48%
25%
27%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
COI
1 - 1
TFC
41%
24%
35%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2020 |
COI
0 - 2
AMF
6%
14%
80%
|
43 | 72 | 29 | 0 |