Villa Nova vs Caldense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.9%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
25.6%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villa Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
ATM
3 - 1
VIL
90%
8%
1%
|
45 | 83 | 38 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2019 |
TOM
3 - 1
VIL
68%
21%
11%
|
45 | 58 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
VIL
3 - 1
PAT
38%
26%
36%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | +2 |
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
VIL
0 - 3
CRZ
10%
22%
67%
|
43 | 84 | 41 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2019 |
TUP
1 - 1
VIL
68%
20%
12%
|
43 | 52 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Caldense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2019 |
TOM
0 - 2
CAL
69%
20%
11%
|
45 | 58 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
CAL
2 - 1
BOA
19%
27%
55%
|
43 | 56 | 13 | +2 |
| 09 Feb. 2019 |
CAL
0 - 1
ATM
6%
15%
79%
|
44 | 83 | 39 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2019 |
TUP
2 - 2
CAL
67%
21%
13%
|
43 | 52 | 9 | +1 |
| 30 Jan. 2019 |
GUA
0 - 0
CAL
55%
25%
20%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | 0 |