Villa Nova vs Caldense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.1%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
23.8%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villa Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2018 |
PAT
2 - 0
VIL
47%
26%
27%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2018 |
CRZ
1 - 0
VIL
85%
12%
3%
|
46 | 85 | 39 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2018 |
VIL
3 - 2
URT
44%
25%
31%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
VIL
3 - 1
TUP
27%
25%
48%
|
43 | 54 | 11 | +2 |
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
UBE
2 - 0
VIL
62%
23%
15%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Caldense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
CAL
1 - 1
URT
40%
28%
32%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
CAL
0 - 2
PAT
42%
26%
32%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2018 |
ATM
1 - 2
CAL
90%
9%
2%
|
47 | 83 | 36 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
CAL
0 - 1
BOA
21%
27%
52%
|
47 | 61 | 14 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2018 |
CAL
0 - 1
FLU
6%
15%
79%
|
47 | 78 | 31 | 0 |