Villa Nova vs Caldense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.3%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.4%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
36.6%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villa Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
TUP
0 - 1
VIL
67%
21%
12%
|
43 | 56 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
VIL
3 - 0
BOA
21%
25%
54%
|
40 | 56 | 16 | +3 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
UBE
1 - 0
VIL
71%
19%
10%
|
40 | 53 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
VIL
1 - 2
AMF
11%
19%
70%
|
41 | 71 | 30 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
URT
0 - 1
VIL
62%
22%
16%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Caldense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
CAL
0 - 1
CRZ
10%
22%
68%
|
53 | 85 | 32 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
CAL
3 - 1
TRI
54%
24%
22%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
AMF
3 - 1
CAL
77%
17%
7%
|
53 | 71 | 18 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
CAL
0 - 2
UBE
41%
26%
33%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2016 |
ATM
2 - 0
CAL
85%
12%
3%
|
54 | 85 | 31 | 0 |