Villa Nova vs Caldense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.6%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.1%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.1%
1-0
10%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.4%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
40%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villa Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
ATM
3 - 0
VIL
88%
10%
2%
|
46 | 85 | 39 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
VIL
1 - 1
DEM
52%
23%
24%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
TUP
3 - 0
VIL
63%
22%
14%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2015 |
VIL
0 - 4
CRZ
10%
20%
70%
|
48 | 87 | 39 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
VIL
0 - 0
AMF
14%
22%
64%
|
47 | 70 | 23 | +1 |
Matches
Caldense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
CAL
0 - 0
BOA
40%
28%
33%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
URT
0 - 1
CAL
28%
27%
45%
|
57 | 44 | 13 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2015 |
DEM
0 - 1
CAL
29%
28%
44%
|
57 | 45 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2015 |
CAL
1 - 0
ATM
13%
24%
63%
|
56 | 85 | 29 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
CAL
2 - 1
TUP
41%
27%
32%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | +1 |