Villa Nova vs Boa EC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.2%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.3%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.1%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
54%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.6%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.1%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villa Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
UBE
1 - 0
VIL
71%
19%
10%
|
39 | 52 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
VIL
1 - 2
AMF
11%
19%
70%
|
39 | 70 | 31 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
URT
0 - 1
VIL
62%
22%
16%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
VIL
2 - 1
TOM
26%
25%
49%
|
37 | 51 | 14 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
VIL
0 - 2
CRA
38%
25%
37%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Boa EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
ATM
5 - 1
BOA
82%
13%
5%
|
55 | 84 | 29 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
BOA
1 - 2
URT
65%
21%
14%
|
56 | 45 | 11 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
BOA
2 - 1
TRI
68%
19%
13%
|
56 | 42 | 14 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
CAL
2 - 0
BOA
32%
28%
40%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2015 |
BOA
2 - 0
ABC
41%
28%
31%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | +1 |