Villa Nova vs Atl. Mineiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
4%
Win probability
0.24
Expected goals
3-0
<0%
+3
<0%
2-0
0.3%
3-1
0.1%
+2
0.4%
1-0
2.8%
2-1
0.7%
3-2
0.1%
+1
3.5%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
11.7%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
0.6%
3-3
<0%
0
17.7%
78.3%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
0-1
22.2%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
27.8%
0-2
21.2%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.2%
-2
24.6%
0-3
13.5%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
15.1%
0-4
6.4%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0%
-4
7%
0-5
2.4%
1-6
0.2%
-5
2.6%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villa Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
VIL
3 - 1
DEM
45%
25%
31%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
TFC
0 - 0
VIL
34%
25%
41%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
VIL
2 - 0
NAC
39%
26%
35%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | +2 |
| 16 Sep. 2021 |
NAC
1 - 1
VIL
59%
22%
19%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
VIL
2 - 1
TFC
41%
23%
36%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Atl. Mineiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2021 |
ATP
1 - 2
ATM
25%
27%
49%
|
90 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2021 |
ATM
4 - 0
ATP
73%
17%
10%
|
90 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2021 |
GRE
4 - 3
ATM
34%
26%
40%
|
90 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2021 |
ATM
4 - 3
BRA
68%
19%
13%
|
90 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2021 |
BAH
2 - 3
ATM
21%
25%
54%
|
90 | 80 | 10 | 0 |