Villa Nova vs Atl. Mineiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.5%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
3.2%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.9%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
20.5%
67.5%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
0-1
14.3%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.8%
0-2
13.9%
1-3
6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.9%
0-3
8.9%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
12.2%
0-4
4.3%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.6%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villa Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
CAL
1 - 1
VIL
59%
24%
17%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2014 |
TUP
0 - 0
VIL
58%
24%
19%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
VIL
1 - 3
TOM
34%
24%
42%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2014 |
CRZ
3 - 1
VIL
90%
8%
2%
|
48 | 86 | 38 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
VIL
1 - 0
GUA
49%
24%
27%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Atl. Mineiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2014 |
ATM
2 - 1
SFE
61%
21%
18%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
ATM
3 - 2
AMF
80%
13%
6%
|
83 | 65 | 18 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2014 |
URT
0 - 5
ATM
12%
21%
67%
|
83 | 47 | 36 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
ATM
0 - 0
CRZ
44%
25%
32%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2014 |
ZAM
0 - 1
ATM
30%
27%
43%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | 0 |