Villa Nova vs Atl. Mineiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.4%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.5%
1-0
4%
2-1
3.3%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.2%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.3%
70.3%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
12.7%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.2%
0-3
9.3%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.7%
0-4
5.1%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.9%
0-5
2.2%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.9%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villa Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
CRZ
2 - 0
VIL
87%
10%
3%
|
48 | 83 | 35 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2012 |
AMF
2 - 1
VIL
80%
13%
6%
|
48 | 70 | 22 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
VIL
2 - 1
AME
41%
23%
36%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
VIL
2 - 2
USC
48%
24%
28%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
GUA
1 - 2
VIL
47%
24%
29%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Atl. Mineiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2012 |
CEN
1 - 3
ATM
13%
19%
69%
|
79 | 48 | 31 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
ATM
4 - 2
NEC
89%
9%
3%
|
79 | 47 | 32 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
AMF
1 - 2
ATM
36%
24%
40%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
GUA
0 - 4
ATM
8%
15%
77%
|
78 | 46 | 32 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2012 |
ATM
2 - 0
CAL
85%
11%
4%
|
78 | 50 | 28 | 0 |