Villa Nova vs Aparecidense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.6%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.2%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.4%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
45.4%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
13.7%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villa Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
VIL
0 - 3
TOM
17%
22%
62%
|
49 | 70 | 21 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
AMF
0 - 0
VIL
87%
10%
3%
|
49 | 85 | 36 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2024 |
VIL
1 - 4
ATH
24%
23%
54%
|
49 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2024 |
VIL
3 - 3
IFC
39%
23%
38%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
PAT
0 - 1
VIL
53%
25%
21%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Aparecidense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
GOI
0 - 1
APA
20%
24%
56%
|
59 | 44 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
APA
1 - 1
GIO
73%
16%
11%
|
60 | 43 | 17 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2024 |
JAT
1 - 4
APA
13%
20%
68%
|
59 | 38 | 21 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
APA
3 - 1
MOR
75%
16%
9%
|
59 | 40 | 19 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2024 |
APA
1 - 1
GOI
72%
18%
10%
|
59 | 46 | 13 | 0 |