Villa Nova vs Anapolina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.2%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.7%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
29.8%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villa Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
ITA
0 - 3
VIL
41%
27%
32%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
VIL
1 - 2
EST
57%
22%
21%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
EST
1 - 1
VIL
53%
24%
23%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2014 |
VIL
2 - 3
ITA
67%
19%
14%
|
47 | 38 | 9 | -1 |
| 27 Jul. 2014 |
ANA
1 - 1
VIL
61%
22%
17%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Anapolina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
ANA
0 - 0
EST
57%
22%
20%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2014 |
BRA
1 - 1
ANA
59%
23%
18%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2014 |
ANA
1 - 1
BRA
34%
26%
40%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2014 |
EST
4 - 3
ANA
38%
26%
36%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Jul. 2014 |
ANA
1 - 1
VIL
61%
22%
17%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |