Villa Nova vs América TO analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.3%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.8%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.4%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
35.5%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
8%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.4%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.5%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villa Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
VIL
2 - 2
USC
48%
24%
28%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
GUA
1 - 2
VIL
47%
24%
29%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
VIL
2 - 1
ANA
48%
24%
29%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2011 |
ANA
1 - 0
VIL
49%
25%
26%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | -2 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
VIL
0 - 1
VOL
58%
23%
18%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | -3 |
Matches
América TO
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
AME
1 - 2
ATM
10%
16%
74%
|
52 | 79 | 27 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
USC
0 - 1
AME
45%
23%
32%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
CRZ
5 - 1
AME
96%
4%
1%
|
51 | 87 | 36 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
AME
1 - 8
CRZ
4%
14%
82%
|
52 | 87 | 35 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
ATM
7 - 1
AME
87%
10%
4%
|
52 | 80 | 28 | 0 |