Villa Nova vs América TO analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.1%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.5%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.9%
16%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villa Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2009 |
VIL
2 - 2
SOC
66%
19%
15%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
ATM
2 - 1
VIL
85%
11%
4%
|
51 | 78 | 27 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2009 |
VIL
2 - 2
UBE
48%
25%
28%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
VIL
3 - 1
GUA
59%
21%
20%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2009 |
USC
1 - 0
VIL
61%
23%
16%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
América TO
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
4 - 1
AME
70%
18%
12%
|
43 | 59 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2009 |
AME
1 - 0
ECI
55%
23%
22%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
AME
2 - 1
FUN
52%
23%
25%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2009 |
VAL
1 - 0
AME
35%
25%
41%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2009 |
PDC
1 - 2
AME
34%
25%
42%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | +1 |