Torneo Regional Federal Amateur Final
Global 3-2
Villa Mitre Bahia Blanca vs Rivadavia Venado Tuerto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.5%
Win probability
2.47
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.6%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.2%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
16%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
16%
10.4%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villa Mitre Bahia Blanca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2015 |
SRI
1 - 0
VIL
23%
21%
57%
|
36 | 23 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2015 |
VIL
1 - 0
GER
67%
18%
15%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | -2 |
| 09 Dec. 2015 |
GER
1 - 1
VIL
28%
23%
50%
|
38 | 29 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2015 |
VIL
2 - 0
LIN
66%
19%
15%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2015 |
LIN
0 - 1
VIL
37%
23%
40%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Rivadavia Venado Tuerto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2015 |
SRI
1 - 0
VIL
23%
21%
57%
|
23 | 36 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
SRI
1 - 3
SAN
26%
22%
52%
|
25 | 38 | 13 | -2 |
| 09 Dec. 2015 |
SAN
0 - 3
SRI
83%
11%
6%
|
24 | 39 | 15 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2015 |
SRI
4 - 1
NEW
37%
23%
40%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | +2 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
NEW
1 - 1
SRI
64%
20%
16%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | 0 |