Villa Mitre Bahia Blanca vs Kimberley Mar del Plata analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.3%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
1.2%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
8.2%
3-0
13%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.9%
2-0
18.2%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.8%
1-0
17%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.2%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
1.4%
3-3
0.1%
0
16.1%
5.6%
Win probability
0.39
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
4.6%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+45%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
1º
5º
2º
22
3º
6º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
36 | 36 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
34 | 34 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
33 | 33 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
22 | 25 |
4º
|
52% | |
|
|
5º
|
22 | 23 |
5º
|
52% | |
|
6º
|
21 | 21 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 21 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
20 | 20 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
17 | 17 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
8 | 11 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
100% | 100% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villa Mitre Bahia Blanca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jun. 2024 |
CSS
0 - 2
VIL
25%
30%
45%
|
70 | 32 | 38 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
VIL
2 - 0
GER
70%
20%
11%
|
69 | 55 | 14 | +1 |
| 27 May. 2024 |
SAN
0 - 2
VIL
18%
29%
53%
|
69 | 49 | 20 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
RSA
0 - 0
VIL
24%
30%
46%
|
69 | 55 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2024 |
CDC
1 - 1
VIL
16%
28%
56%
|
69 | 47 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Kimberley Mar del Plata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jun. 2024 |
KIM
1 - 1
RSA
35%
29%
37%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
CDC
0 - 1
KIM
42%
28%
31%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
KIM
2 - 0
SAU
49%
26%
25%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
CIP
0 - 0
KIM
52%
28%
20%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2024 |
OLI
1 - 1
KIM
82%
14%
4%
|
48 | 71 | 23 | +1 |