Villa Mitre Bahia Blanca vs Dep. Santamarina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.7%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.1%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
14.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
21.5%
12.8%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+15%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
14
1º
8º
3º
14
1º
5º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
17 | 17 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
14 | 14 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
14 | 14 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
13 | 13 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
12 | 12 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
8 | 8 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
8 | 8 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
7 | 7 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
5 | 5 |
9º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villa Mitre Bahia Blanca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
GUT
1 - 1
VIL
24%
29%
47%
|
69 | 54 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
VIL
2 - 1
CIB
63%
23%
15%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
KIM
2 - 0
VIL
18%
29%
53%
|
70 | 51 | 19 | -1 |
| 14 Jul. 2024 |
VIL
2 - 0
CDC
79%
15%
5%
|
69 | 44 | 25 | +1 |
| 07 Jul. 2024 |
SAU
1 - 1
VIL
16%
28%
56%
|
69 | 46 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Dep. Santamarina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
RSA
1 - 0
DCM
56%
25%
18%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
CDA
3 - 2
RSA
46%
27%
26%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
RSA
2 - 1
GER
47%
27%
26%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Jul. 2024 |
RSA
1 - 0
SAN
65%
22%
13%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2024 |
CDC
1 - 3
RSA
27%
28%
45%
|
55 | 45 | 10 | +1 |