Villa de Fortuna Sub 19 vs Real Murcia U19 B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.5%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.6%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
12.3%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.8%
59.7%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
17.8%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
4%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
11%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
5.5%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+386%
-16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
3º
12º
6º
36
1º
5º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
47 | 81 |
1º
|
86% | |
|
2º
|
41 | 69 |
2º
|
34% | |
|
3º
|
37 | 68 |
3º
|
29% | |
|
|
4º
|
36 | 66 |
4º
|
20% | |
|
5º
|
34 | 61 |
5º
|
27.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
33 | 58 |
6º
|
27.5% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 57 |
7º
|
22.5% | |
|
10º
|
23 | 50 |
8º
|
31% | |
|
8º
|
25 | 46 |
9º
|
23.5% | |
|
9º
|
25 | 46 |
10º
|
20.5% | |
|
11º
|
22 | 43 |
11º
|
20.5% | |
|
13º
|
18 | 36 |
12º
|
18.5% | |
|
12º
|
22 | 35 |
13º
|
15.5% | |
|
14º
|
17 | 35 |
14º
|
19.5% | |
|
15º
|
15 | 29 |
15º
|
20.5% | |
|
17º
|
14 | 29 |
16º
|
18.5% | |
|
16º
|
14 | 25 |
17º
|
24.5% | |
|
18º
|
12 | 23 |
18º
|
50.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0.5% | 2% |
|
Mid-table
|
99.5% | 98% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villa de Fortuna Sub 19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
CAR
2 - 2
VDF
47%
22%
32%
|
12 | 12 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
VDF
2 - 0
ARC
35%
22%
43%
|
10 | 13 | 3 | +2 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
FUT
1 - 2
VDF
51%
21%
29%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
VDF
1 - 1
CIE
17%
18%
65%
|
8 | 15 | 7 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
PIN
2 - 3
VDF
75%
15%
11%
|
7 | 14 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Real Murcia U19 B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
REA
1 - 1
PRO
77%
14%
10%
|
20 | 10 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2024 |
CLU
1 - 3
REA
14%
17%
69%
|
20 | 8 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
REA
3 - 0
EDM
82%
12%
7%
|
20 | 7 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
LOR
0 - 1
REA
22%
21%
57%
|
19 | 13 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
REA
2 - 1
UCA
51%
22%
27%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | 0 |