Villa de Fortuna Sub 19 vs Ranero Sub 19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.4%
Win probability
2.7
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.6%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.2%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.4%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.8%
15.2%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.2%
11.4%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+384%
+240%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
3º
12º
6º
22
8º
16º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
48 | 79 |
1º
|
78.5% | |
|
2º
|
45 | 71 |
2º
|
34.5% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 71 |
3º
|
27.5% | |
|
4º
|
39 | 66 |
4º
|
32.5% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 60 |
5º
|
28% | |
|
|
5º
|
35 | 59 |
6º
|
31.5% | |
|
7º
|
34 | 55 |
7º
|
25.5% | |
|
10º
|
24 | 47 |
8º
|
25% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 46 |
9º
|
21.5% | |
|
9º
|
26 | 44 |
10º
|
20% | |
|
12º
|
22 | 40 |
11º
|
18.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
22 | 38 |
12º
|
16% | |
|
13º
|
21 | 38 |
13º
|
18% | |
|
14º
|
17 | 32 |
14º
|
15.5% | |
|
15º
|
16 | 30 |
15º
|
16% | |
|
17º
|
15 | 27 |
16º
|
24.5% | |
|
18º
|
13 | 24 |
17º
|
20.5% | |
|
16º
|
15 | 23 |
18º
|
34.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 83.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 16.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villa de Fortuna Sub 19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jan. 2025 |
UCA
1 - 0
VDF
46%
21%
33%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2024 |
ADM
2 - 2
VDF
55%
21%
25%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
VDF
4 - 1
EFM
53%
21%
26%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 2024 |
CDM
2 - 4
VDF
23%
20%
57%
|
15 | 9 | 6 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
PRO
1 - 2
VDF
31%
22%
48%
|
15 | 11 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Ranero Sub 19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 2025 |
ARC
2 - 3
RAN
46%
24%
31%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2024 |
RAN
1 - 2
PRO
37%
23%
40%
|
10 | 11 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
CLU
0 - 1
RAN
36%
22%
42%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 2024 |
RAN
1 - 1
EDM
38%
23%
39%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
LOR
2 - 1
RAN
72%
16%
12%
|
10 | 14 | 4 | -1 |