Villa de Fortuna Sub 19 vs Lorca CFB Sub 19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.4%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.6%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.2%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.4%
25.2%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
6%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
14%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
3º
12º
6º
22
7º
16º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
47 | 81 |
1º
|
86% | |
|
2º
|
41 | 69 |
2º
|
34% | |
|
3º
|
37 | 68 |
3º
|
29% | |
|
4º
|
36 | 66 |
4º
|
20% | |
|
5º
|
34 | 61 |
5º
|
27.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
33 | 58 |
6º
|
27.5% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 57 |
7º
|
22.5% | |
|
10º
|
23 | 50 |
8º
|
31% | |
|
8º
|
25 | 46 |
9º
|
23.5% | |
|
9º
|
25 | 46 |
10º
|
20.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
22 | 43 |
11º
|
20.5% | |
|
13º
|
18 | 36 |
12º
|
18.5% | |
|
12º
|
22 | 35 |
13º
|
15.5% | |
|
14º
|
17 | 35 |
14º
|
19.5% | |
|
15º
|
15 | 29 |
15º
|
20.5% | |
|
17º
|
14 | 29 |
16º
|
18.5% | |
|
16º
|
14 | 25 |
17º
|
24.5% | |
|
18º
|
12 | 23 |
18º
|
50.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
99.5% | 96% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 4% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villa de Fortuna Sub 19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
VDF
2 - 1
REA
21%
20%
60%
|
13 | 21 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
CAR
2 - 2
VDF
47%
22%
32%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
VDF
2 - 0
ARC
35%
22%
43%
|
11 | 14 | 3 | +2 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
FUT
1 - 2
VDF
51%
21%
29%
|
10 | 11 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
VDF
1 - 1
CIE
17%
18%
65%
|
9 | 17 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Lorca CFB Sub 19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
LOR
0 - 0
PRO
56%
20%
24%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
CLU
1 - 2
LOR
29%
22%
49%
|
13 | 8 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
LOR
1 - 3
EDM
75%
14%
11%
|
14 | 8 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
CDM
1 - 2
LOR
25%
22%
54%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
UCA
1 - 0
LOR
71%
17%
13%
|
14 | 19 | 5 | 0 |