Villa Dálmine vs Instituto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.6%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
27%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
26.4%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villa Dálmine
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2019 |
RSA
0 - 0
DAL
30%
28%
43%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2019 |
DAL
4 - 4
GIM
48%
29%
23%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2019 |
DEF
2 - 1
DAL
22%
27%
51%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2019 |
DAL
1 - 3
ARS
29%
29%
42%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2019 |
AGR
0 - 0
DAL
32%
28%
40%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Instituto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jul. 2019 |
ATE
2 - 1
INS
4%
11%
85%
|
63 | 22 | 41 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2019 |
INS
1 - 1
GIM
52%
26%
23%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2019 |
PLA
2 - 1
INS
43%
28%
29%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2019 |
INS
1 - 1
ALM
46%
28%
26%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2019 |
CCS
1 - 3
INS
54%
25%
21%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | +1 |