Villa Dálmine vs Dep. Santamarina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.5%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.7%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.5%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.4%
28.3%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.3%
40.2%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
11.6%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.3%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villa Dálmine
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
IRV
0 - 0
DAL
38%
28%
34%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
GIM
1 - 0
DAL
25%
27%
48%
|
60 | 50 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
DAL
1 - 2
BUC
39%
28%
33%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
AND
0 - 1
DAL
46%
27%
27%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
GIM
1 - 0
DAL
34%
29%
37%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Dep. Santamarina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
RSA
1 - 0
JUV
61%
23%
16%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
PAT
2 - 0
RSA
54%
26%
21%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2015 |
RSA
3 - 1
PAT
34%
31%
35%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2015 |
FER
0 - 2
RSA
40%
29%
31%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2015 |
RSA
2 - 2
FER
41%
29%
30%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |