Villa Dálmine vs Deportivo Merlo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.9%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.6%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.7%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.4%
29.8%
Draw
0-0
12.1%
1-1
13.5%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.8%
32.3%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villa Dálmine
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
BRO
1 - 2
DAL
71%
18%
10%
|
55 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2014 |
DAL
0 - 1
EST
27%
30%
43%
|
56 | 67 | 11 | -1 |
| 08 Aug. 2014 |
ALM
1 - 2
DAL
60%
25%
15%
|
54 | 66 | 12 | +2 |
| 25 May. 2014 |
DAL
1 - 1
COL
58%
25%
17%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 May. 2014 |
SUA
1 - 1
DAL
57%
23%
20%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Deportivo Merlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2014 |
MER
0 - 0
BRO
32%
29%
39%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2014 |
EST
1 - 0
MER
57%
25%
18%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2014 |
MER
0 - 1
FEN
48%
26%
26%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2014 |
CHA
1 - 2
MER
46%
29%
26%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2014 |
MER
1 - 2
ALM
48%
27%
25%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | -1 |