Villa Dálmine vs Deportivo Merlo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.1%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.7%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.7%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.5%
29.7%
Draw
0-0
12%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.7%
32.2%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
20.1%
0-2
6%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villa Dálmine
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
CHA
1 - 1
DAL
55%
26%
19%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2014 |
DAL
2 - 1
ALM
37%
28%
35%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
CHI
2 - 0
DAL
63%
23%
14%
|
54 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2014 |
DAL
2 - 3
BAR
40%
29%
31%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
PLA
2 - 0
DAL
48%
28%
24%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Deportivo Merlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2014 |
FLA
3 - 0
MER
29%
30%
41%
|
61 | 50 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
MER
0 - 0
CHI
37%
28%
35%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2014 |
BAR
1 - 0
MER
48%
27%
25%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
MER
0 - 1
PLA
52%
26%
22%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
ACA
1 - 0
MER
32%
31%
38%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |