Villa Dálmine vs Def. Belgrano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.4%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.6%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.2%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
21.7%
31.5%
Draw
0-0
14.5%
1-1
13.5%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
31.5%
34.1%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
14%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
21.6%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villa Dálmine
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2021 |
STM
1 - 0
DAL
39%
28%
34%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2021 |
DAL
0 - 0
ALB
45%
28%
27%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2021 |
DAL
1 - 1
SMA
29%
29%
43%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2021 |
BRO
2 - 0
DAL
46%
27%
26%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2021 |
DAL
1 - 1
GBR
44%
28%
28%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Def. Belgrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2021 |
DEF
1 - 1
SMA
34%
30%
37%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2021 |
BRO
0 - 3
DEF
44%
30%
25%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2021 |
DEF
2 - 0
GBR
48%
29%
23%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2021 |
RAF
0 - 0
DEF
54%
26%
20%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2021 |
DEF
1 - 2
IRV
50%
28%
22%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | -1 |