Villa Dálmine vs Def. Belgrano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.7%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
28%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28%
29%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villa Dálmine
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
MOR
2 - 1
DAL
48%
25%
27%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
DAL
1 - 1
UAI
26%
28%
46%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2013 |
EST
1 - 0
DAL
66%
21%
13%
|
51 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2013 |
DAL
1 - 2
ARM
28%
28%
45%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2013 |
ATL
0 - 1
DAL
52%
26%
22%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Def. Belgrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
BAR
2 - 3
DEF
60%
23%
17%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
DEF
3 - 0
PLA
24%
30%
46%
|
49 | 61 | 12 | +2 |
| 19 Aug. 2013 |
ACA
2 - 2
DEF
54%
26%
20%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2013 |
DEF
0 - 0
AND
38%
30%
32%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2013 |
FLA
0 - 1
DEF
52%
27%
21%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | +1 |