Villa Dálmine vs Barracas Central analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.1%
2-0
8%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.4%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.1%
29.4%
Draw
0-0
11.8%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.4%
30.5%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villa Dálmine
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
PLA
2 - 0
DAL
48%
28%
24%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2014 |
DAL
2 - 1
ACA
41%
28%
31%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
AND
1 - 0
DAL
54%
25%
21%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
DAL
1 - 1
FLA
57%
24%
18%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2014 |
DEF
0 - 0
DAL
37%
29%
34%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Barracas Central
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2014 |
PLA
2 - 3
BAR
52%
28%
20%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2014 |
BAR
2 - 0
ACA
42%
27%
31%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2014 |
AND
2 - 0
BAR
57%
25%
18%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
BAR
3 - 1
FLA
62%
22%
16%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2014 |
DEF
0 - 1
BAR
44%
30%
26%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |