Villa Valle vs US Breno analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.7%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.1%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
51.9%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
15.8%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.4%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+38%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villa Valle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2022 |
NOV
0 - 2
VIL
67%
18%
15%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2022 |
VIL
1 - 2
UNI
21%
22%
57%
|
25 | 36 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2022 |
VIL
1 - 3
FOL
26%
25%
50%
|
27 | 38 | 11 | -2 |
| 02 Mar. 2022 |
VIL
2 - 2
DES
24%
22%
54%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 2022 |
ARC
2 - 3
VIL
71%
18%
12%
|
25 | 35 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
US Breno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2022 |
CAS
2 - 1
USB
56%
21%
23%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2022 |
USB
1 - 0
OLG
79%
14%
7%
|
36 | 22 | 14 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 2022 |
CAL
1 - 0
USB
43%
24%
34%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2022 |
CRE
2 - 0
USB
31%
23%
46%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | -2 |
| 16 Feb. 2022 |
USB
3 - 0
UNI
38%
25%
38%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | +2 |