Villa Valle vs Caravaggio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.5%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.4%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.9%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
40.3%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villa Valle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2022 |
CAL
0 - 0
VIL
55%
23%
22%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2022 |
VIL
2 - 4
USP
33%
23%
44%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 2022 |
CAL
0 - 0
VIL
67%
20%
13%
|
24 | 35 | 11 | +1 |
| 30 Jan. 2022 |
SAN
3 - 1
VIL
80%
13%
7%
|
25 | 40 | 15 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 2021 |
OLG
1 - 0
VIL
35%
26%
39%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Caravaggio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2022 |
CAR
0 - 0
LEO
72%
16%
12%
|
28 | 18 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2022 |
CAR
0 - 0
CAS
27%
22%
51%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 2022 |
OLG
1 - 3
CAR
37%
25%
38%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2022 |
CAR
1 - 0
USB
19%
21%
60%
|
24 | 37 | 13 | +2 |
| 26 Jan. 2022 |
CAR
1 - 1
USP
30%
23%
47%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | 0 |