Villa Valle vs Caravaggio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.9%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
6%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.4%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.9%
20.2%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+47%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villa Valle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2019 |
LEV
1 - 1
VIL
32%
24%
44%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2019 |
VIL
2 - 1
BUS
60%
21%
19%
|
28 | 23 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2019 |
CAS
1 - 1
VIL
44%
23%
33%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2019 |
VIL
1 - 4
FOL
30%
24%
46%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | -2 |
| 26 Oct. 2019 |
TRI
1 - 1
VIL
70%
17%
14%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Caravaggio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2019 |
CAR
2 - 3
PRO
14%
20%
66%
|
24 | 43 | 19 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2019 |
SON
4 - 2
CAR
49%
24%
27%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2019 |
CAR
2 - 3
SCA
38%
25%
37%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2019 |
USP
0 - 0
CAR
53%
22%
26%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2019 |
INV
0 - 2
CAR
74%
16%
11%
|
24 | 34 | 10 | +2 |