Villa Valle vs Desenzano Calvina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.2%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.7%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.2%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
54.3%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
16.4%
0-3
5%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
9.2%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villa Valle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2022 |
ARC
2 - 3
VIL
71%
18%
12%
|
25 | 35 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2022 |
VIL
1 - 1
CAR
36%
24%
40%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2022 |
CAL
0 - 0
VIL
55%
23%
22%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2022 |
VIL
2 - 4
USP
33%
23%
44%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 2022 |
CAL
0 - 0
VIL
67%
20%
13%
|
26 | 37 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Desenzano Calvina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2022 |
DES
0 - 1
CAS
50%
22%
29%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2022 |
SAN
3 - 1
DES
58%
22%
20%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2022 |
DES
4 - 2
USP
56%
21%
23%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2022 |
CAL
2 - 2
DES
23%
22%
55%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2022 |
DES
1 - 0
ADR
58%
21%
22%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | 0 |