Villa CD vs CF Orgaceño analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.1%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.2%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.2%
16.7%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+38%
+114%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villa CD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
CAB
0 - 2
VIL
38%
25%
37%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
VIL
2 - 1
MOR
45%
23%
32%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
TOL
1 - 1
VIL
40%
24%
36%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
HAL
2 - 1
VIL
37%
24%
39%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
VIL
1 - 1
ADS
43%
23%
34%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
CF Orgaceño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
ORG
0 - 4
MAD
34%
25%
41%
|
13 | 17 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
ORG
1 - 0
ADS
34%
24%
42%
|
13 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
AZU
2 - 3
ORG
63%
19%
18%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
ORG
0 - 1
CFA
35%
23%
42%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
ALC
2 - 1
ORG
61%
21%
18%
|
12 | 15 | 3 | 0 |